Congress Must Act to Keep the Economy Growing

by: The Center for Economic and Policy Research, t r u t h o u t | Perspective

Congress Must Act to Keep the Economy Growing
Iraq war veteran Paul Hess works for a green construction company.
(Photo: Sustainable Design Forum)

    Recent reports of the budget deficit are troubling. Not because of the size of the deficit - indeed, we had proportionally larger deficits in the eighties and nineties - but because talk of the deficit threatens to limit the measures Congress and the president are willing to take to turn this economy around.

    There's no doubt about it; we're in the midst of a slow-motion recession, and it's going to take more than one round of stimulus checks to get out of it. This is not to say that the stimulus checks were ineffective. They were the right thing to do, and while much of the data has yet to be collected, it appears they blunted the worst of the downturn to date.

    President Bush would like to sit on his laurels at this moment and wait to see if everything gets better before passing another round of legislation to jumpstart the economy. This would be unwise. State budgets that began on July 1, 2008, contain sharp cuts in spending that will affect both the public payrolls and employment in health care and other services that rely on state government expenditures. These sectors were some of the only bright spots in the employment picture over the past year. From December 2007 to June 2008, the private sector lost 564,000 jobs. Our economy needs positive intervention now to help those who are suffering from rising prices, reduced hours and unemployment. And in the long run, Congress needs to address the structural problems that led to the last jobless recovery and the housing bubble.

    In a new report, Slow-Motion Recession: What Congress Can Do to Help, we propose several immediate steps Congress can take to provide an economic stimulus of about $100 billion to help the country address what may prove to be a long period of stagnation.

    The proposals for stimulus include:

1. An expanded tax credit for homes and businesses to make energy-conserving renovations ($15 billion).

2. Subsidies for state and local governments to reduce fares on public transportation ($7 billion).

3. Matching grants to state and local governments to invest in energy-conserving renovations ($5 billion).

4. Grants to state and local governments so that they will not be forced to raise taxes and/or layoff workers and cut services in the middle of a downturn ($35 billion).

5. Additional payments to low- and moderate-income households through programs such as Food Stamps ($7 billion), School Lunches ($3 billion), and the Low Income Heating and Energy Assistance Program ($3 billion) to make it easier for families to cope with rising food and energy prices (total $13 billion).

6. Modernization of the unemployment insurance system and further extension of the benefit period ($25 billion).

    In order to ensure the soundness of financial markets, we argue that failures of both internal company governance and external oversight by regulators need to be addressed. Bailouts should include strict rules limiting leverage, requiring cash reserves against riskier assets, increasing transparency, and severely restricting executive compensation.

    While it is difficult to identify movements in commodity prices that are due to unwarranted speculation, rather than to fundamentals, a modest tax on financial transactions would substantially raise the cost of this type of speculation while having very little impact on traders seeking to hedge in commodity markets or investors engaged in long-term investing.

    Since the meltdown of the housing market is at the core of the downturn, we recommend reducing the number of homes on the market by passing Representative Raœl Grijalva's Saving Family Homes Act. This measure would provide moderate-income homeowners facing foreclosure with the option to remain in their home as renters for up to 20 years. This measure would both provide housing security to these families and also give lenders a strong incentive to renegotiate mortgage terms to allow homeowners to remain in their homes as owners.

    Finally, the paper suggests moving forward with measures, such as Family Leave Insurance and the Healthy Families Act, that would guarantee workers some amount of paid time off in case of illness. The United States lags badly behind other wealthy nations in ensuring its workers some amount of time off from their jobs to deal with family and medical needs. It is especially important in these challenging economic times that workers should not have to choose between a paycheck, or even keeping a job, and caring for their families.

    Deficit or no deficit, this economic downturn requires that we think comprehensively about how we make our economy work again. The American consumer is strapped. Neither the strength of the stock market, nor the housing market, is going to pull us out of this malaise. We need Congress to take leadership and act.

All republished content that appears on Truthout has been obtained by permission or license.





     

»




Comments

This forum is moderated by software. Please allow up to 15 minutes for your comments to go live and avoid posting the same comment multiple times.



Wrong. What is needed now is

Wrong. What is needed now is to let this fire burn! Economies, like forests, are complex entities and require certain cycles to maintain integrity, health and equilibrium. Just as the interdiction policies against forest fire by the U.S. Forest Service for the past 150 years have resulted in record levels of forest fires and current conditions even more conducive to far more destructive fires of greater frequency and duration, so too will perpetual interdiction in the economic cycle eventuate in exasperating circumstances and producing even graver consequences. We have enjoyed the fruits of prosperity, now is the time to allow the correction to challenge the system, eliminate debris, waste and excess. Do not fear the pain. Pain is an indicator, it will guide us to the trouble spots and eliminate the guess work regarding what policy adjustments are required to purge the source of the current dis-ease, not mask the symptoms with pain killers. We may be quite surprised to find that our willingness to endure some pain will make a significant contribution to our national character development and produce priceless gems in terms of institutional memory.


It's not the size of the

It's not the size of the deficit, it's the size of the debt. That's what's gotten out of control. Now the U.S. government is in hock to China and Japan up to its eyeballs, and private debt is beyond belief. Looking at the deficit in isolation is being short-sighted. It's the debt bomb that's looming on the horizon. In the past (such as just after WWII) the debt was large, but owed to Americans. The U.S. fincanced it's WWII effort. The debt now is owed to foreign interests. Now, GWB is financing his foreign advernturism with foreign cash flows. As a result, the U.S. has lost any leverage with China, which just threatens the nuclear option on the U.S. currency, and GWB falls dutifully in line. And the U.S. is facing another record trade deficit. And, there's only so many U.S. assets that can be sold off to foreign financial interests to help support the U.S.'s financial house of cards. If something is unsustainable, it will eventually cease. This is a situation unlike any other faced by the U.S., and it's going to take a lot of pain to get out of it. On the positive side, I think Al Gore's proposal to become energy independent (if not carbon-independent) in 10 years is a good start. Get off of the carbon addiction and get plugged into alternate energy.


What an unbelievably callous

What an unbelievably callous post, Anonymous. Not doing anything is precisely the same policy that Hoover employed during the beginning stages of the Great Depression. We all know how well that turned out: unemployment around 25 percent, massive dislocation, families going hungry, and the like. I can't believe that anyone still thinks this way in the 21st century. Clearly you are someone without any regard for the welfare of others. Well done.


This article would be

This article would be laughable if the implications were not so tragic. Has the author never gazed off at the horizon and appreciated that he lives on a rather small spaceship with finite resources? Capitalism is sort of a grand Ponzi scheme and when the bulk of the resources are used up its collapse is inevitable. Here's the link to an article which all you would-be economists should read: http://dieoff.org/page241.htm The present melt-down was triggered by exponentially rising energy costs. World oil production peaked in 2005 and has been essentially flat since, but as the Asian economies expand and demand more fossil fuels the prices just keep escalating. Congress cannot legislate more coal and central banks can't print more oil. We are about to take a fast trip over the Olduvai cliff: http://tinyurl.com/olduvai Buckle your seat belts because its going to be a rocky ride.


Anonymous's "callous post"

Anonymous's "callous post" has the ring of truth and reality, despite the pain that would accompany his/her logic. The proposals advanced in this article would require the expenditure of funds that must be conjured up from thin air, thereby adding to the deficit and further debasing the currency. We are already totally broke and hopelessly in debt to the rest of the world that holds our paper. Ginning up the money supply to "stimulate" the economy is analogous to giving the addict more dope, when we all know that this is the road to hell. We really have to "let it burn," but the fire would certainly be less volatile if we would end our empirical military misadventures and thus reduce the amount of "paper" we are printing. Depression and economic collapse are inevitable, given the course we are on -- pay me now or pay me later. The more we prolong the crash, the worse it will be. Pain, it is true, develops strength and courage and innovation. Let's get on with it and quit trying to delay our reckoning. We can do it, if we pull together and use our talent for ingenuity and our bonds of community. Where is the revolutionary spirit that founded this nation?


The trick is to ride the

The trick is to ride the shrinking, consumption-based, primitive GDPeconomy downward, all the while establishing socio-economic structures with externalized profits, the best green litmus test available as of 2008. Cordially, Garrett


What a title! It was the

What a title! It was the actions of Congress and the political establishment that got us where we are today! And now Congress is going to "act" to save us? I love it. What a joke.


The first most constructive

The first most constructive thing to do is IMPEACH Cheney and Bush to get them out of the way for constructive thinking and action. In my younger days these guys would have been ridden out of town on a rail long ago for their despicable acts. IMPEACH


The capitalist economy is a

The capitalist economy is a monster devouring the planet and much of its human and other inhabitants. There are few things produced in the world that aren't produced in sufficient quantity to satisfy the real needs of the human species if distributed equitably, and very many things are produced in dangerously excessive quantities. It's well past time to destroy "the economy" and subordinate production to satisfying human needs in harmony with the environment.


This is sad. The growing

This is sad. The growing economy is precisely what's killing the US. I think this is the first time I've ever been disappointed by a Truthout piece. The time's they are a changin'.


When the Anonymous poster

When the Anonymous poster says, "Do not fear the pain," you can bet that he ain't the one who will feel any pain....