The Youth Vote and the War of 2012

by: William John Cox, t r u t h o u t | Op-Ed

The Youth Vote and the War of 2012
UC Berkeley students attend a Rock the Vote concert. (Photo: Charlie Nguyen / Flickr)

In one of the most striking political comebacks in US history, the Republican Party marched in lockstep to victory in the midterm elections and seized control of the House of Representatives and statehouses across the nation. The Republicans made a battle plan and disciplined their troops and the corporations paid for the ammunition.

Unless the Democrats do something drastically differently during the next two years, the rich and powerful will cement their victory around the body of democracy and dump the barrel of freedom into the deep, dark waters of cash politics, where it will be lost forever.

Looking across the piles of dead and wounded on the political battlefield at the vast hoard of mercenaries gathering to administer a coup de grace to representative democracy - paid for by unlimited secret corporate financing - there is only one reserve force with the motivation, power and loyalty to defeat the army of fascism - those who have most to lose - the youth of America.

Pumped Up in 2008

The elections of 2004, 2006 and 2008 introduced the Millennial Generation, those born between 1977 and 1998, to the US political arena. The concentrated votes of these confident and mostly liberal young people helped the Democrats achieve a Congressional majority in 2006 and lifted Barack Obama over the top in 2008.

Fueled by aggressive efforts to increase the turnout of young voters from historic lows, more than half of the Millenials' numbers - as many as 24 million  - cast their ballots in the 2008 election, and more than two out of three of those voted for Obama. With older Americans splitting their votes between the two candidates, the youth vote made a significant political difference in those states where the popular vote was close.

Believing in a progressive domestic social agenda and sharing a deep concern for the environment, the Millennials had high hopes for the future of their country under an Obama administration. Unfortunately, the "change we can believe in" and the "change we need" turned out to be chump change in the currency of political dealmaking.

Ignored in 2009

Watching as the government continued to bail out Wall Street, suppress constitutional rights and encourage deep ocean oil drilling, young people couldn't help but notice the compromises made by their president that favored the rich and powerful over the interests of students and entry-level workers.

The economy sucked, jobs evaporated, college tuition increased, coal slurry continued to spill into mountain streams and oil gushed into the Gulf of Mexico.

Youthful enthusiasm was dampened by the repeated failures of President Obama and the Democratic Party to change the way Washington works. Although more than half of Millennials placed the blame on special interests and Obama's political opponents, one third of the young people came to blame Obama himself for failing to deliver on his promises.

The effects of their disappointment were quickly felt as young people reduced their political participation. Youth voting in the 2009 gubernatorial elections in Virginia and New Jersey topped out at only 17 percent and 19 percent, respectively, and only 15 percent of Massachusetts young people turned out to vote in the special senatorial election in January 2010, resulting in the defeat of Democrat Martha Coakley.

Disenchanted in 2010

During the year following his inauguration, President Obama's approval ratings fell from 73 percent to 57 percent among young people, and a July 2010 poll found him trailing a generic Republican among 18- to 34-year-olds.

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Young people have been especially hard-hit by the failing economy, yet they were generally ignored by most congressional candidates in the 2010 election cycle. As Heather Smith of Rock the Vote said, "These young people are willing to participate and be active by nature, but they are not going to show up unless they are invited."

Leading up to last week's election, an October McClatchy-Marist Poll found that only 11 percent of registered voters under 30 were "very enthusiastic" about voting, compared to 48 percent of voters over 60 years of age. An earlier Rock the Vote poll  in September found 34 percent of young voters favoring Democrats with another 28 percent rooting for a Republican takeover - but, significantly, 36 percent believed it did not matter which party controlled Congress.

An estimated 20.4 percent of young people voted on November 2, representing about a million fewer than voted in 2006 and less than half of the youth turnout for the 2008 presidential election. However, there was an increase in voting from 2006 levels in those states targeted by the Vote Again 2010 coalition, which facilitated voter outreach and targeted advertising to young people.

Although there were some desertions, the young people who did vote demonstrated far greater loyalty than other categories, with only 5 percent switching their party vote to Republican.

Motivated in 2011

Concerned about their progressive domestic social agenda and worried for their own well being and the well being of their families and friends, the Millennials have good reason to fear the 112th Congress.

The corporate artillery is lined up and the guns are locked and loaded with high explosive shells. Here are the announced targets: campaign finance reform, consumer-protection laws, expiration of tax cuts for the wealthy, environmental controls on businesses, workers'ability to organize unions, health care reform, unemployment insurance, social security and Medicare.

As Samuel Johnson famously said, "Nothing focuses the mind like a hanging." The young people of America are being hung out to dry politically, and they will continue to flap in the wind as the new Congress rolls back even the modest gains of the Obama administration.

Mobilized in 2012

First, an understanding, then a plan.

The progressive attitudes of the Millennials are more representative of the American people than the election indicates. For nearly two decades prior to 2008, "Voters have become more supportive of government spending and more sympathetic toward the poor. They were increasingly secular and increasingly likely to favor gay marriage. They were more worried about climate change and more inclined to support universal health care. And, not surprisingly, they were more and more likely to identify as Democrats."

Since 2008, fear of economic collapse has caused people to become more conservative; however, the 2010 election does not mean that the majority of the people have changed their political attitudes. Instead, the Tea Party movement demonstrates that "the entire political system has become disconnected from the practical needs and values of Americans, suggesting that its voting power stemmed as much from a populist sense of outrage in a tough economic moment as it did from ideology."

Many of the Blue Dog Democrats were just voted out of office and replaced with Republicans, which means that the Democratic caucus of the new Congress will be more liberal than the current one. It does not mean that the Democrats have suddenly grown a spine; it only means that, if they can find the courage to stand firm and not give in to pressure, the American public will respect and support their efforts.

A recent poll found that most voters do not support a freeze on all government spending, only on the part going to national security, and a majority do not want to permanently extend the Bush tax cuts on incomes greater than $250,000 a year.

Another poll revealed that a majority of voters do not want to raise the social security retirement age or reduce benefits for future retirees, nor do they want to repeal the new health care law.

So, what should President Obama and the Democratic Party do?

First, the president should stop running for reelection. It is not all about him! Obama is further ahead in the polls than Reagan was at the same point of his time in office. He should just chill out and do what is right and good for workers, the middle class and small business owners, rather than for the rich and powerful. If the president is incapable of such leadership, it will be no great loss if he is defeated in 2012. He will have been just another elephant trying to fit into a donkey suit.

In the meantime, congressional Democrats should avoid compromising the principles of their constituencies and aggressively represent those who placed them in office. If they can't do that, they do not warrant the trust placed in them, and they too deserve to be defeated in 2012.

Finally, the Democratic Party should recognize that young voters are the best hope for the future of democracy. Democrats should take the advice of Rock the Vote's Smith and "invite young people to the party."

The Millennials are loyal, progressive and inclusive, and they are prepared to work for what they believe in.

Most important, with their ability to instantly communicate with each other using the Internet, text messaging and social networks, young people are less vulnerable to being manipulated by the corporate media.

Corporations and the wealthy will continue to secretly pour millions of dollars into negative campaigns for the next election to cement their power. The Democratic Party and the institutions and foundations that support the progressive agenda must respond with a powerful positive campaign that not only motivates and turns out the youth vote, but that makes use of their abilities to connect with others.

The reserve force of young voters is ready and willing to engage in the battle for freedom and their weapons of modern communication are in place; all they need is leadership.

A failure to provide them direction, here and now, will mean the death of democracy - not just here in the United States, but everywhere political power is dedicated to greed rather than need.

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William John Cox is a retired prosecutor and public interest lawyer, author and political activist. His efforts to promote a peaceful political evolution can be found at VotersEvolt.com, his writings are collected at WilliamJohnCox.com and he can be contacted at u2cox@msn.com


Comments

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The young are rightfully

The young are rightfully disappointed with Obama--a hollow man.



Stewart of the daily show

Stewart of the daily show summed up the frustration my generation has had with the democrats very well when he gave a long speech at the end of Brown's upset and takeover of Sen. Kennedy's seat.

The basic gist of the bitingly cynical diatribe was this:
they lost a supermajority, but they really never needed it because bush got more done in 1 year with 51 seats than obama did in two with a supermajority. What, exactly, was stopping them again?

Even we are not THAT stupid.



What was occurring were the

What was occurring were the power of the Blue Dog Democrats and the power of that modern filibuster. And teh main stream media and Fox-type media. The latter media determines how the public accepted filibuster. During Bush they "learned" to consider it undemocratic and traitorous (meaning seditious) but during the last two years they ignored it almost completely as a reason for government inertia.

Yes, we are that stupid. We are a mass of morons in this country. Republicans vote as a block and Democrats don't. One side is anti-democratic. Figure out which one....



Obama has lost the young and

Obama has lost the young and the liberals because he keeps giving up all of the good progressive ideas before he sits down to negotiate and then does whatever the Republicans tell him to do. He is too quick to give up and he won't fight for anything that big money opposes. He is a moderate Republican that ran as a Democrat.

I hope he has a primary challenge in 2012. As things stand now, Obama won't be getting my vote in 2012 and I know many people that feel the same.



In 1980 I was equally

In 1980 I was equally disappointed in Jimmy Carter, because I was 18, and he had recently reinstated the Draft and Selective Service System. In the election, I voted for John Anderson, but guess who we got instead?



Obama turned out to be for

Obama turned out to be for one party...the party of one, himself. We need to tell Obama to use the money and get a spinal implant. We will also pop for the Blue dog, red Cur democrats who sold out due to health issues, no spines, no guts and no brains.
The young aren't the only ones who feel not rage but disgust with what is passing for leadership in DC. The corruption in our nation can go head to head with the Karazi's and the Malikizi . As a Senior citizen please don't give up because if you do the GOP will eat your lunch and feed you to the dogs. If you thought it could not get worse, the GOP will show you how wrong you are going to be. Democrats don't deserve our votes but we are voting for our lives and maybe they will get the guts to join the power wave of "NO".



Great to read an article

Great to read an article using relevant polling to make an intelligent argument. I am very tired of reading "liberal media" *reporting* on waves of support for the Tea Party on the basis of rumor and conjecture. How do people really feel and think about issues? If they elected Obama, to begin with, what happened this recent time around?

In my district, it was mind boggling, to me. We're a college area, with apparently a strong progressive movement and active student body. I drew this conclusion by attending the caucus in my area during the primaries. It appeared that students and progressives had literally swamped in and taken over.

continued



continued We have in this

continued

We have in this area, however, a long time Democratic representative in the House, who is hardly a progressive. He's not a blue dog, but he's a good example of what's wrong with the Democrats these days, in general. Didn't support real health care reform (and voted for the final package after perfunctorily doing his duty and reading it -- and it wasn't that much reading for an average college educated person -- the pages quite short), and he's very into the military spending, with a seat on the Armed Services Committee. Thanks to his long time community influence, I am sure, we also have military recruiting in our area, in the public schools For although the Obama administration chose a public high school for his address - on the basis of their commitment to seeing every high school student go to college, with full funding for their education, in our district, they don't believe in that -- and our representative helps the local economy by encouraging young people to go to Afghanistan instead.

continued



continued Here's my point ..

continued

Here's my point .. this guy was challenged during the primaries by a progressive who was quite good. He had a long time background in real health care reform, he was endorsed by some excellent people, he was opposed to our military stuff, and he was involved with kids in the community in a supportive way -- not in a way that says, "Need a job? Go to Afghanistan."

He was defeated overwwhelmingly with only several thousand votes in a community that pulled out full youth and progressive forces at the caucus to get Obama in for "real change."

I would like to know what happened! Where were these young people who told me, they'd missed Kennedy and JFK and they wanted to make it happen again. Where were all those older progressives who took such strong charge at the caucus? Who were bowling the nation over?

Now I'm suddenly living in a conservative district.



This is right on but misses

This is right on but misses a couple of things. Obama's mistake was as he moved from campaign to governing he allowed the lines of communication to young people to go silent. OFA got moved under DNC. As a result young folk were not kept up on issues and continuously asked for their input and participation. Meanwhile House Democrats passed an historic legislative slate of bills to benefit young people and the future. They were not aware of this. The young voters did not know that the 2010 was a generational election with Democrats arrayed on the side of the future against the party of the past. Democrats and Obama should now re engage the youth of America.



I hate to look at the

I hate to look at the possible "dark side" of this scenario .. but .. maybe these young voters did know about the slate of bills passed. As they knew that Obama was going to make good on his promise to have them covered under their parent's health plans until 26.

Maybe the reason they're so quiet since the elections is because they're not such a progressive generation, and they got their pay-off already.

I read that a Plouffe plan for a second term was another youth mobilization. Of those who've never voted, and I assume, those who were satisfied with what they got.

I will say this .. I am taken back, on the internet, at times, to hear the vehemence with which unseen posters assert that older Americans are gettin' their come-uppance after what "they've done." And, during the campaigns, it was a rare younger voter, in my experience, who focused on health care issues.

Maybe this group is another group of Me-First Americans, and that's what the Obama campaign really figured on, and did business with.



Understandably, the outlook

Understandably, the outlook in America, for us, is so dismal right now.

Like a war upon the spirit ..



@ 16:34. I too have gone

@ 16:34. I too have gone down this path of thought. However i thought the path was reasonably well lit. Entitlement.