Wall Street Deficit Hawks Have No Shame

by: Dean Baker, t r u t h o u t | Op-Ed

Wall Street Deficit Hawks Have No Shame
(Photo: EssG)

Almost 25 million people are unemployed or underemployed right now. This was a completely preventable disaster. This is worth repeating a few hundred billion times so that even the geniuses in Washington can understand it.

The disaster was completely preventable. The reason we had the disaster was that the people controlling economic policy, that would be people like Alan Greenspan and Robert Rubin, either had no clue about the housing bubble or deliberately decided to ignore it.

Nothing about this story is complicated - let's write this so that even a Wall Street billionaire can understand it. We had an $8 trillion housing bubble. It was inevitable that it would collapse. Bubbles do that. When we get an over-priced housing market, then builders build more homes. That's because it becomes very profitable to build homes when prices are high. If builders keep building lots of homes, then eventually there will not be enough people to buy them at bubble-inflated prices, even with the loony mortgages being pushed at the time by the Wall Street banks.

When people can no longer buy homes, their prices drop. When their prices drop, people will default on their mortgages and banks lose lots of money.

More importantly, when prices drop, builders stop building homes. People also stop spending money based on their housing-bubble wealth. The falloff in construction and consumption implies more than $1 trillion in lost demand in the economy. This lost demand throws the economy into a serious recession, with tens of millions of people losing their jobs. It's all very, very simple. You probably don't even need an intro economics course to understand it.

But, the deficit hawks, led by Wall Street investment banker Peter Peterson, either did not see the bubble or chose to ignore it. They ran around the country in the peak years of the housing bubble yelling about "fiscal irresponsibility" even as the housing bubble was growing to ever more dangerous level. They used their money and their political standing to dominate public debate and crowd out those of us who were trying to warn about the bubble. There were numerous television shows, radio shows and news stories devoted to their dire warnings about the deficit. They even persuaded a major documentary maker to put out a movie, "IOUSA," highlighting their scare stories.

The bursting of the bubble has had a devastating impact on the lives of tens of millions of people across the United States and hundreds of millions of people around the world. This is by far the worst economic disaster in the United States since the Great Depression. If the Wall Street deficit hawk crew hadn't dominated public debate on economic issues as the bubble was building, perhaps those of us warning of the bubble could have been heard. Maybe momentum would have grown to burst the bubble before it reached such dangerous levels.

Ironically, the collapse of the bubble was even a disaster from the standpoint of the issue that concerns the deficit hawks most: the deficit. The deficits that the nation is incurring as a result of the collapse of the housing bubble are projected to have added more than $4 trillion to the national debt by the end of this decade.

The people who allowed for this bubble to grow unchecked should be incredibly embarrassed and certainly should be apologetic about laying the basis for this wreckage. It is difficult to envision a more serious policy failure.

But no, the deficit hawks are as sanctimonious as ever. They are running around as though nothing happened. They are still preaching the exact same lines to the public that they did before the collapse of the bubble, but now with greater urgency due to the damage to the government's balance sheet caused by the downturn.

The media should be jumping on deficit hawks like Peterson, asking him why anyone should take him seriously now when he was so incredibly and disastrously wrong about the economy just a few years ago. Unfortunately, Peterson doesn't get questions like that; he just gets praise for his willingness to try to take Social Security and Medicare away from retired workers.

The problem is that Peterson has billions of dollars. To the national media and other actors in national policy debates, Peterson's wealth matters much more than whether or not what he is saying makes sense. That is good news for Peterson, but really bad news for the rest of us.  

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Dean Baker is a macroeconomist and co-director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research in Washington, DC. He previously worked as a senior economist at the Economic Policy Institute and an assistant professor at Bucknell University. He is a regular Truthout columnist and a member of Truthout's Board of Advisers.


Comments

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This was a completely

This was a completely preventable disaster. Hmm, I really don't see it that way. First, since most of the jobs in this country were shipped overseas, all we had left was housing. They kept the rates low, to keep the engine going. And well we all know how that turned out. Greenspan and Rubin are fools, and quite frankly they should go to jail, along with the WS crowd, and many other actors. But, the main problem is, and will continue to be this:

GDP - composition by sector:
agriculture: 1.2%
industry: 21.9% <-- This should be like 85%.
services: 76.9% (2009 est.)

Source: CIA

Plus, an economy based on consumerism, is not sustainable.

This is just one of many examples why this country is in decline, and will not recover. Those who want to know what's really going on, with our economy, and where we're headed, should visit: http://www.zerohedge.com/



To get out of the mess, and

To get out of the mess, and keep it from coming again, and then again, we need (1) state banks like North Dakota's; (2) Glass-Steagel; (3) graduated income taxes like under Eisenhower with the highest bracket 91%. A robust public option for health care would help, too. And, Rick is correct: an economy based on consumption is not sustainable.



Wait a minute, Dean is

Wait a minute, Dean is advocating drone strikes on Wall Street. Finally! Organized crime is goin gto get it's just deserts.



It's so simple, spend some

It's so simple, spend some time with a child and their bubble making jar and wire. Then blow bobbles with them if you still don't get it!!



Bush mentioned that "we will

Bush mentioned that "we will hunt them down and smoke them out " after 9/11. After the slow melting economic fallout in beginning on a day of infamy in 2008, the same attitude should apply.
This is terror we're really feeling, lost homes, lost jobs.



If you want to return to

If you want to return to normal, than you will go on paying a buck for something worth a dime. All the time, every transaction. Paper transactions don't exist like a paper transaction from the trasury to the reserve. It's a dumb show. The elites knew what they did. They sold worthless derivatives to their economic competitors and knocked everyone's economy such that popular revolt spreads as national bureaucracies scramble to milk their workers to pay for the loans by which they had hired and continue to hire an army and a police force to control their workers. At best, capitalism works for the monarchy and imprisons common man.



If 25 million people go

If 25 million people go hungry and cold...look out.



It would also help if the

It would also help if the FED did not raise the money supply, let it rise with gold and silver.



Drone strikes on Wall Street

Drone strikes on Wall Street would be a start; carpet bombing of K Street would be the next step.



"he just gets praise for his

"he just gets praise for his willingness to try to take Social Security and Medicare away from retired workers."

Social Security and Medicare do not exist, the trust funds have been spent by politicians for years, on the Deficits.



There is only one solution,

There is only one solution, public funding of campaigns. If politicians are to beholden to their funders, those funders must be the taxpayers. And at $5 per taxpayer per year it would be a bargain.

Our country is on a downward spiral not because of the wackos on the left or right, but because of a corrupt political system that allows politicians to accept bribes and then pass laws to benefit their contributor.

Bribes lead to spending which leads to taxes and deficits. No corporation could withstand an employee giving away assets for cash on the side, and no country can either.

So clean it up at the top, then we can fix it in the middle. We must get ALL congressmen to co-sign the bill at FairElectionsNow.org . Without that, nothing will happen. Throw in the towel.

Jack Lohman ...
jelohman@gmail.com ...
http://MoneyedPoliticians.net ...



Public funding will cause

Public funding will cause double-dipping. Greed begets greed.



I think Dean is right that

I think Dean is right that the housing bubble crash could have been prevented, by preventing the bubble. But Rick makes a very good point. If the housing bubble had not happened, people would have stopped buying as much, and the same thing would have happened, but much more gradually. The more fundamental problems are what rick brought up (we have a largely imaginary economy) plus the fact that the rich have slowly been starving the middle class and poor for the last few decades. They are either too stupid to realize their wealth depends on the consumers whose money they are siphoning away, or they don't care. But eventually they will suffer too. It's as inevitable as the housing bubble bursting, unless we reverse these trends in time.



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