What Voters Really Care, and Don't Care, About
Thursday 18 November 2010
by: Paul Krugman, Krugman & Co. | Op-Ed

(Photo: TalkMediaNews; Edited: Lance Page / t r u t h o u t)
I stopped watching the Nov. 3 postelection press conference after President Obama declared that Americans rejected Democrats at the polls in part because “we were in such a hurry to get things done that we didn’t change how things got done.”
Nobody cares about this stuff — voters only care about results. Nobody really cares about earmarks, which is just political code for spending less (less on somebody else).
They don’t care about civility and bipartisanship, which in practice are code for Democrats’ giving in to Republican demands.
Nobody cares about congressional maneuvers — some pundits may argue about the role health-care reform played in the midterm elections, but I bet not one American voter in 50 knows or cares that it was passed using a filibuster-preventing reconciliation measure. So were the sacred 2003 tax cuts approved during President George W. Bush’s administration that we are told must, absolutely must, be retained. If Mr. Obama had used some fancy footwork and held 2 a.m. sessions in order to pass a big public-works program in the United States, and this program had brought unemployment rates down, Republicans would be screaming about the process, but Democrats would have comfortably held control of Congress.
And nobody cares about the national deficit, either. People sometimes say they do, but it almost always turns out that they really mean something else. Look at all the fiscal hawks who suddenly lose all interest in balancing the budget when tax cuts are on the line.
One clear result of the elections is that there won’t be a further round of stimulus spending.
And this, in turn, means that the narrative of the Very Serious People will now be: that sort of fiscal policy was tried, it failed, and that’s that.
But the facts don’t at all support the conventional wisdom.
You often hear the United States’s experience compared to that of Germany, for example. According to the widely accepted narrative, the United States went for Keynesian policies, while Germany chose austerity — and Germany did better.
Germany has not, in fact, done better in terms of gross domestic product. Just look at the chart. It is true that Germany did do better on employment, but this is due to policies that American conservatives surely don’t support, including employment subsidies, strong unions and rules making it difficult to fire workers.

This may be even more surprising: Look at the chart that shows actual government purchases of goods and services, as opposed to transfer payments (many of them just transfer payments from the federal government to states).

You will find that Germany was actually more Keynesian than the United States. (Just to be clear, I am not saying that the Germans were big Keynesians; the point is that neither nation was.)
So it’s truly an amazing achievement: President Obama and company managed to convince voters that big government failed without actually delivering big government.
Backstory: United States Turns Right
After the Nov. 2 midterm elections were over, the United States Senate remained in Democrats’ hands — just barely, with Democrats holding 53 of 100 seats. The Republicans, however, took control of the House of Representatives with a strong majority, and since most of these victories were based on anti-deficit, anti-stimulus campaigns, a shift in direction is likely for the nation.
Immediately after the votes were counted, Republicans vowed that once they take office in January, they will challenge Democrat-led initiatives. At the top of the list is dismantling President Barack Obama’s health-care reform bill, which was passed in March and is expected to cost the government about $938 billion over a decade. Mitch McConnell, the Republican minority leader in the Senate, has proposed immediate repeal of the bill, urging the House to deny its funding and the Senate to eschew some of its provisions. Shortly after the election, Representative John A. Boehner, the next speaker of the House, called the bill a “monstrosity,” that “will kill jobs in America, ruin the best health-care system in the world and bankrupt our country.”
The newly empowered Republicans also pledged to slash spending for domestic programs immediately, by about $100 billion within a year.
While debates on health care and spending cuts could lead to stalemates, one argument that will likely go the Republicans’ way is an extension of tax cuts for the wealthy, which are due to expire at the end of the year. Mr. Obama opposes extending them for the wealthiest American taxpayers.
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Paul Krugman joined The New York Times in 1999 as a columnist on the Op-Ed page and continues as a professor of economics and international affairs at Princeton University. He was awarded the Nobel in economic science in 2008.
Mr Krugman is the author or editor of 20 books and more than 200 papers in professional journals and edited volumes, including "The Return of Depression Economics" (2008) and "The Conscience of a Liberal" (2007).
Copyright 2010 The New York Times Company.
All republished content that appears on Truthout has been obtained by permission or license.



Comments
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Don't the two graphs show
Thu, 11/18/2010 - 12:01 — drosera (not verified)Don't the two graphs show that the country that better practiced Keynesian economics suffered the greatest decline in GDP?
That's Obameh And COMPANY;
Thu, 11/18/2010 - 12:49 — Vic Anderson (not verified)That's Obameh And COMPANY; with their "opposition", Bushsit Fat FELON tax-cut extensions are A SHOE-IN, In SPATS!
The democrats failed when
Thu, 11/18/2010 - 14:09 — Anonymous (not verified)The democrats failed when they folded on giving us a single payer option in health care! They failed when they refused to listen to We The People when we demanded NO AMNESTY for millions of illegal aliens. They failed when they had the power to pass Energy Reform and did nothing. They failed when their focus on jobs was not on small business but on large corporations. They failed when they placed bipartisanship ahead of just getting the job DONE! Now we all can look forward to 2 years of stalemates and again nothing will get done or changed to benefit anyone but the top 1% of earners. Fire them ALL including the GOP and get farmers in office at least they can be fiscally responsible while taking care of the things that truly matter to the majority of what use to be called our nations middle class.
Why can't we all settle
Thu, 11/18/2010 - 22:27 — Jonathan Freed (not verified)Why can't we all settle down, and find the smart solutions to our current financial crisis? If partisanship wasn't so rampant, we would be in far, far better shape. It's not rocket science. GM has in its own way proved that governmant and industry can work together to solve immense problems and accomplish great things. Why then can't those who are supposed to be acting in our best interests get their shit straight and do their jobs, please.
Can anyone, please tell me
Fri, 11/19/2010 - 13:01 — Anonymous (not verified)Can anyone, please tell me what is a billion dollar, many people talk about the deficit, but I still don't think many people have a clear idea what exactly is the amount. I am not talking about a trillion, god forbid!
If the USA is broke, how is
Fri, 11/19/2010 - 13:09 — Anonymous (not verified)If the USA is broke, how is Israel still getting the billions in aids since the end of war world 2? Who is responsible for the ethnic cleansing of the Palestinians? Common! America is about human rights or dollar rights?
The Bush tax cuts for the
Fri, 11/19/2010 - 22:53 — Anonymous (not verified)The Bush tax cuts for the wealthy absolutely must be allowed to expire! They should be increased beyond what they were reduced from. These people have the money they have because they live in this vast market, (the USA,) which was the resource, with it's population, markets, infrastructure and easily exploitable government enabled them to amass or inherit their wealth in the first place. As this being the case, their share of the upkeep of the goose that gave them their golden egg should be proportionately higher.
As for job creation, these predators are the ones sending the jobs overseas. They are not about to play fair, tax or no tax. If they want to pick up their trust funds, and go join their offshore bank accounts, let 'em We'll see how many really go!
This is war, and it's time to stand and fight!
I agree that health care
Sun, 11/21/2010 - 04:13 — Anonymous (not verified)I agree that health care reform was the big turning point for the Democrats. They really needed to open up Medicare or make sure a robust public option went through. They didn't allow some of the most important voices in the debate a seat at the discussion table. Obama just handed the whole thing over to the insurance cronies.
I thinnk, it was at this point, when people saw just how badly health reform was going, and after all hopes that were raised, and all the work that went into it, and seeing themselvves so terribly betrayed .. well the rest is history.
The other factors of course was just the destroyed economy that Obama inherited, and then, the big bank bailouts that he went along with.
Tax the hell out of them. Let them leave the country! There are plenty of enterprising people who would appreciate the opportunities their departures would open up for them. We basically have everything we need in the U.S. to be self-sufficient. So if they want to go to India or China for good, let them!
In the meantime, with them gone, we can open up Medicare, save social security -- double it in fact and start distributing it at lower ages -- and see jobs open up again in the U.S. for Americans. Back at tax levels comparable to the '50's and '60's, as Ralph once said.
The solutions are quite
Sun, 11/21/2010 - 14:11 — Rod (not verified)The solutions are quite clear --
If only there was the political will to do them...
First eliminate the Social Security tax cap. If you make a million a year, then you pay tax on all of it like the rest of us. That fixes the solvency issue and the rest can shore up Medicare.
Kill both the Bush and Reagan tax breaks for the super-wealthy. The highest tax rate was under Ike and was 91%! And the middle class did extremely well. Clinton raised taxes on the rich also and the economy did very well -- Bush cut them and the economy withered. So much for the GOPs claptrap on "job-killing taxes". They mean CEO job killing taxes.
Then raise the earned income tax credit -- this will especially help those at the bottom and they will immediately put that money into the economy.
Tax dividends like income. Why should the idle rich lying around the swimming pool pay less than people with their noses against the grindstone?
Make it easier to join unions -- if a company is making record profits, the workers should also benefit.
Block out corporate tax loopholes, make it more unpalatable to ship jobs overseas, and raise their taxes from about the 6-7% it is now to what is was - around 20%.
Allow Medicare for all -- it was originally planned as that, with the age limit dropping 10 years every decade. Fund it well enough so doctors can accept Medicare patients. Cover the 45+ million Americans with no coverage at all.
Preventative medicine is FAR better than waiting til you're at death's door and going to the ER! The US is the ONLY developed country that allows for-profit insurance companies to ration out health care. And how can you have an effective system based on profit-driven corporations trying to deny health care as much as possible to fatten their bottom line?!?
And finally make enough laws or obstacles to essentially nullify the Citizens United decision disaster. Make corporations (in)famous for trying to buy our representatives.
Absolutely right Ron! From
Sun, 11/21/2010 - 15:57 — Anonymous (not verified)Absolutely right Ron! From your lips to God's ears!