Yes, There Are Ways to Reduce Unemployment and Revive the Economy

by: Mark Weisbrot  |  The Center for Economic and Policy Research | Policy Analysis

Yes, There Are Ways to Reduce Unemployment and Revive the Economy
President Barack Obama tours Orion Energy Systems in Manitowoc, Wisconsin, on January 26, 2011. (Photo: Doug Mills / The New York Times)

As President Obama begins the second half of his term with a campaign for "jobs and competitiveness," we would do well to consider how he might achieve these worthy goals. It is jobs that matter most to the vast majority of Americans, and unemployment remains at 9.4 percent – about double its pre-recession level. This is a terrible punishment to inflict on millions of Americans who did nothing to deserve it. It will cause long-term and even permanent damage to many of the unemployed and their children.

What can the government do to relieve this suffering? One relatively simple measure is to subsidize employers who are willing to reduce hours rather than lay people off. Germany has demonstrated the success of this approach in the last couple of years. Unemployment in Germany was 7.4 percent just before their recession began in the third quarter of 2008. Today it is 6.7 percent. And Germany had a much steeper decline in output than we did.

The idea is straightforward: employers who are faced with reduced demand can either lay off workers or reduce hours. If they reduce hours for any worker, the government in Germany puts up 60 percent of the lost pay for these reduced hours. The worker keeps her job, with reduced hours but the pay is not reduced nearly as much.

With all this talk now about Democrats and Republicans "reaching across the aisle" and working together, a program that is acceptable to a conservative German government ought to have bi-partisan appeal here. The government can use unemployment insurance funds to cover much of the cost, and seventeen states do offer such work-sharing programs. But they are under-funded and participation is small.

My colleague Dean Baker estimates that this program can create three million jobs at a cost of $68 billion. That is less than one-tenth of our bloated Pentagon budget. Imagine a national poll where voters were to choose between continuing to occupy Afghanistan versus creating three million jobs? (Actually about 4.6 million jobs if we really get out of there). A no-brainer.

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Another proposal that would help boost the economy, and wouldn't cost the taxpayers anything would be to allow homeowners who are underwater on their mortgages to become long-term renters. An independent appraiser would set the fair market rent for their home. Millions of homeowners who bought homes at bubble-inflated prices would see a sizeable reduction in their monthly payment. Others would find that their bank, not wanting to be a landlord, would negotiate a reduced mortgage payment. This program would free a lot of people from the prolonged stress and uncertainty of unpayable debt, and boost consumer demand.

Of course demand for goods and services is what is needed to achieve the growth that will boost the economy and provide jobs. Unfortunately, it is not enough for the President to kiss up to business by appointing their friends to high places, or slathering more tax breaks on them. Our corporations are already sitting on more than $2 trillion of cash; they are not expanding or hiring because there is not enough demand out there for what they can already produce. The bursting of the housing and commercial real estate bubbles will limit demand in those sectors for years to come.

That means that the federal government will have to pick up some of the slack. At the very least it should subsidize the state and local governments so they stop laying people off and raising taxes – thus shrinking the economy and employment further while making this a less educated country. It would be nice to see President Obama take some leadership on these issues, even if it means having to fight for what is right.

This article was originally published by McClatchy Newspapers.

Mark Weisbrot  is co-director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research, in Washington, D.C. He is also president of Just Foreign Policy .
 

All republished content that appears on Truthout has been obtained by permission or license.





     

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Unemployment does not remain

Unemployment does not remain at 9.4%. Unemployment is currently at 22.4%, according to the method of measurement used during the Great Depression, the early 1980's recession, and even the early '90's recession. And even that figure does not include the countless number of individuals who never qualified to receive unemployment benefits in the first place, having been let go from a job that they had worked at for less than 8 months, or that was paid under-the-table, or where the employer refused to contribute their portion towards the unemployment benefits. I am sick and tired of NO ONE, not even the independent media, acknowledging that the Republican Party changed the definition of unemployment in 1994 when they took over the House and Senate, so that the way it's being measured today is different even to the way it was being measured in 1992. For the REAL unemployment rates, please visit www.shadowstats.com . John Williams is the only Economist who continues to track unemployment the "old-fashioned" (i.e. REAL) way.



Keep in mind, many jobs have

Keep in mind, many jobs have turned into "payment plans" for the indentured servants of the US Feudal Colony. In other words, jobs frequently suck on every single fucking level: no security, no autonomy, no creativity,no democracy, no benefits, routine abuses, layoffs, firings, and wage depression.



I reluctantly conclude that

I reluctantly conclude that the powers-that-be want high levels of unemployment. That way wage demands can be kept in check. What is not to like about our present economy? Corporations are raking in the loot, stock prices are shooting upwards like a Fourth of July rocket, and the bankers are depositing more money in their accounts than we ordinary people earn in a hundred lifetimes. I'll say it again: those with power and influence in the United States have NO interest in reducing unemployment and the suffering of the middle class.



again and again, I suggest

again and again, I suggest the 32 hr work week

Why collect unemployment when skills can be developed or maintained?

why?



BULLSHIT!

BULLSHIT!



The TRUE unemployment rate

The TRUE unemployment rate among the civilian population is 30%. The President cannot bring the troops home because then the apparent unemployment rate would triple.